COVID-19 Community Update

Geographic Breakdown as of Wednesday, July 1

There didn’t seem to be a lot of interest in this, but I was asked about it today, so here’s a quick update.

Comparison based on population. The denser the population, the more cases.

Listed in order from the most to the least..Note that the first six are Massachusetts, and the last nine are New Hampshire.

Commonwealth of Massachusetts

• Lawrence 1:23 people have been confirmed with COVID-19
• Essex County: 1:49
• Haverhill: 1:52
• Methuen: 1:50
• Massachusetts: 1:63
• Middlesex County (MA): 1:67

State of New Hampshire

• Manchester: 1:73
• Bedford: 1:76
• Goffstown: 1:85
• Derry: 1:101
• Salem: 1:110
• Hillsborough County: 1:127
• Nashua: 1:142
• Rockingham County: 1:210
• New Hampshire: 1:234

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Geographic Breakdown May 24

A comparison of local communities

Included in this post is the current report, as of May 30, as well as the previous report from May 24.

NH Hot Spots (As of Friday, May 30. Changes from last Saturday, May 24.)

NH has 17 municipalities that have had more than 50 confirmed cases of COVID-19; only four have had more than 200 cases.

Not surprisingly, Manchester, NH’s biggest city, has by far the most cases, and also has the highest ratio of confirmed cases, with one out of every 99 people being diagnosed. Derry has the second most, with one out of every 109 people being infected. Salem and Bedford tie for third place, with 1 out of every 1:124 people having confirmed cases of COVID-19.

Nashua has the second-most cases in the state, but four other communities have more cases per capita than our second-largest city.

A note about “Current” cases: It is important to note that NH DHHS reports that 2,802 people have recovered. 605 of those (21%) were in the last week, and 1,544 in the past two weeks. That’s over 55% in just the last two weeks. This big dump of current cases all at once makes it a bit more challenging to track progress.

The four biggest hot spots – locations with the most cases – are:

1. Manchester: 1,141 (+141); 1:99 residents; Current: 443 (-17)
2. Nashua: 441 (+71); 1:202; Current: 71 (-11)
3. Derry: 308; (+10); 1:109; Current: 83 (-71)
4. Salem: 239 (+12); 1:124; Current: 68 (-6)

The other 13 municipalities have > 50 and  <200 cases. Alphabetically they are:

• Bedford: 183 (+15); 1:124; Current: 84 (+0)
• Concord: 98 (+10); 1:443; Current: 30 (-7)
• Dover: 97 (+5); 1:328; Current: 13 (-1)
• Franklin: 63 (+2); 1:138; Current: 45 (+1)
• Goffstown: 105 (+18); 1:172; Current: 62 (+1)
• Hooksett:  56 (+5); 1:260; Current: 23 (-5)
• Hudson: 78 (+8); 1:301; Current: 23 (-5)
• Londonderry: 141 (+19); 1:187; Current: 45 (+2)
• Merrimack: 59 (+ 7 from May 25); 1:449; Current: 18
• Milford: 95 (+11); 1:168; Current: 34 (+3)
• Pelham: 52 (+1); 1:273; Current: 11 (-4)
• Portsmouth: 59 (+0); 1:359; Current: 21 (+0)
• Rochester: 56 (+4) 1:563; Current: 18 (-6)

All other NH municipalities have less than 50 cases.  All of the other municipalities with 20-49 cases are geographically south of Concord/Rochester, and east of Concord/Milford, except for Franklin.

 

Counties (As of Friday, May 29. Changes from last Saturday, May 24.)

About 81% of all of those in NH who have tested positive to COVID-19 live in either Hillsborough or Rockingham County.

• Hillsborough (inc. Manchester and Nashua):
  • 2,342 (+293); 1:178
  • Current: 851
• Rockingham (inc. Salem & Derry):
  • 1,284 (+66); 1:241
  • Current: 352
• Essex County (MA) (including Methuen, Haverhill, and Lawrence; abuts Salem):
  • 13,994 (+660); 1:56
• Middlesex County (MA) (including Dracut, Tyngsboro, and Lowell; abuts Nashua and Pelham:
  • 20,972 (+740); 1:77

Our neighboring towns:

• Lawrence (7 miles, 17 minutes from Salem)
  • 3,000 (+244 from May 22 to May 29).
  • 1 out of every 27 people has been diagnosed
  • 117 deaths (+5 from May 22)
• Methuen (abuts Salem; 1 mile from my home!)
  • 910 (+58 from May 22 to May 29);
  • 1 out of every 56 people has been diagnosed.
  • 535 recovered (+39).
  • 51 deaths (+6)
• Haverhill (abuts Salem; 5 houses away from my home!)
  • 1,104 cases on May 27 (up 38 from May 20).
  • 1 out of every 58 people has been diagnosed.

NH vs MA: (May 29 compared to May 24)

• Tests:
  • MA: 571,745 (+50,759)
  • NH: 68,960 (+9,421)
• Positives:
  • MA: 95,512 (+3,850) (1:72)
  • NH: 4,492 (+403) (1:303)
• Negatives:
  • MA: 476,233 (+46,909)
  • NH: 64,468 (+9,018)
• Deaths
  • MA: 6,718 (+414)
  • NH: 238 (+30)

#End of Report from May 29.

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Report from May 24

NH Hot Spots (As of Saturday, May 24. The increase is from last Saturday, May 16.)
NH has 13 NH municipalities that have more than 50 confirmed cases.

1. Manchester: 1000 (+149); 89 per 10K residents; 460 current
2. Nashua: 469 (370); 47 per 10K residents; 126 current
3. Derry: 298; (+31); 89 cases per 10K residents; 154 current
4. Salem: 227 (+16); 77 cases per 10K residents; 74 current

• Bedford: 168 (+38); 74 cases per 10K; 84 current
• Concord: 88 (+10); 20 cases per 10K; 37 current
• Dover: 92 (+3); 29 cases per 10K; 14 current
• Franklin: 61 (+3); 70 cases per 10K; 44 current
• Goffstown: 87 (+20); 48 cases per 10K; 61 current
• Hooksett:  51 (new to list since last week); 35 cases per 10K; 28 current
• Hudson: 78 (+8); 31 cases per 10K; 32 current
• Londonderry: 122 (+18); 46 cases per 10K; 43 current
• Milford: 84 (+8); 52 cases per 10K; 31 current
• Pelham: 51 (new to list since last week); 36 cases per 10K; 15 current
• Portsmouth: 59 (+2); 26 cases per 10K; 21 current
• Rochester: 51 (new to the list since last week) 16 cases per 10K; 24 current

All other municipalities have less than 50 cases.  All of the other municipalities with 20-49 cases are geographically south of Concord/Rochester, and east of Concord/Milford, except for Franklin.

Counties (As of Sat., May 16. Increases from last Saturday, May 9.)

• Hillsborough (inc. Manchester and Nashua): 2,049 (+326); 49 per 10K residents
• Rockingham (inc. Salem & Derry): 1,218 (+131); 39 per 10K

About 80% of all of those in NH who have tested positive to COVID-19 live in these two counties.

Our neighboring towns:

• Methuen on May 22: 777 (+75 from May 16); 168 confirmed cases per 10K residents. 496 recovered (+120). 45 deaths (+8)
• Lawrence on May 22: 2,756 (+492 from May 15). 340 cases per 10K residents. 112 deaths (+13)
• Haverhill on May 20: 1066 cases (up 116 from May 13). 166 cases per 10K

If more people were tested, the numbers would be higher.
Without better testing and reporting, we can’t know what our real numbers are.