COVID-19 Update November 12

COVID-19 Update November 12

  • Total: 481 confirmed cases in Salem 
  • 1 out of 61 Salem residents have been infected 
  • Salem Today: 12 new cases in 2 days, 76 active cases

NH DHHS’s website went down — again — today. I was able to capture some info before it crashed for the fourth day in a row, but the Community Transmission section is incomplete. What is going on at NH DHHS??? This is not reassuring.

Community Transmission (per NH Department of Health and Human Services)The overall level of community transmission is defined using three metrics.  A community is then assigned an overall level based on the highest-level determination for any specific metric. The metric which is changing the most right now is the number of new cases.

  • NH Community Transmission Metrics:
    • New Cases per 100k over 14 days
      • Scale: Minimal: <50; Moderate: 50 – 100; Substantial: >100. 
      • Daily average: 201.0 Substantial
    • New hospitalizations per 100k over 14 days:
      • Scale: Minimal: <10; Moderate: 10 – 20; Substantial: >20, 
      • Daily average: 1.3%
    • Average PCR Test Positivity Rate over 7 days:
      • Scale: Minimal: <5%; Moderate: 5% – 10%; Substantial: >10%
      • Daily average: 2.9%
    • New Hampshire’s Level of Transmission: Substantial
  • Rockingham County Transmission:
    • New Cases per 100k over 14 days208
    • New hospitalizations per 100k over 14 days: 1.3
    • Average PCR Test Positivity Rate over 7 days: 3.8
    • Rockingham County’s Level of Transmission: Substantial
  • Other NH Locations
    • Manchester: 198.8 new case average; 2.7 hospitalizations; 4.2% positivity. Substantial
    • Nashua: 236.1 new case average; 2.2 hospitalizations; 5.4% positivity). Substantial (Positivity rate is now Moderate)
    • Coos County: 474.8 new case average; Substantial
    • I was unable to capture the data for Hillsborough County excluding Manchester and Nashua, Carroll, Belknap, Sullivan, Merrimack , Strafford, and Cheshire counties before the State’s website froze. I was able to see that each county is still considered to be experiencing a substantial level of transmission.

• • • • • • TODAY’S SPOTLIGHT • • • • • •

  • Over 300 residents of NH were diagnosed with COVID-19 in the 24-hours covered by this report. We had our first 200-case day less than 2 weeks ago.
  • NH DHHS had a website malfunction, so we were unable to know how many new cases were in Salem yesterday. Today, we have 12 more than we had two days ago.
  • The number of active cases in Salem is now 76, a two-day increase of seven.
  • After eight days in a row of increases, today we still have the same number of people – 5,650– who are being monitored for COVID-19 as we did yesterday. 
  • There were 2,528 active cases today, the 2nd consecutive day of exceeding the old peak, which was last May.
  • Four more new people were hospitalized in the 24-hours covered by this report, bringing NH’s total to 804 since the beginning of the pandemic. 16 people have been hospitalized in NH in the past week.
  • The number of people currently hospitalized is now 64. The average for the past week is 58 COVID-19 patients in the hospital per day.
  • The total number of ICU patients increased by three from Tuesday, and by 12 in the last two weeks. The state does not report the number of people who are currently in the ICU, only the cumulative total, which is now 266.
  • We had three days with no lives lost, but today we lost three NH residents to COVID-19.
  • NH has active outbreaks at the following long-term facilities:
    • Coos County Nursing Home: 26 residents; 33 staff; 1 death.
    • Mount Prospect Academy, Plymouth: 13 residents; 23 staff.
    • NH Veterans’ Home: 9 residents; 1 staff.
    • Pine Rock Manor, Warner: 48 residents; 14 staff.
    • Prospect Woodward Home and Hillside Village: 8 residents; 2 staff.
    • St. Anne’s Rehabilitation and Nursing Center, Dover: 13 residents; 15 staff.
    • St. Teresa Rehabilitation and Nursing Center, Manchester: 31 residents; 17 staff; 7 deaths.
    • Woodlawn Care Center, Newport: 26 residents; 15 staff.
  • The record of the number of new infections in the US has been broken for three out of the past four days.
  • Communities:
    • Notable changes in active cases from yesterday to today:
      • 185 people were reported as “recovered” today, and 29 people were “recovered” yesterday; these are reflected in today’s changes. Two of these communities has fewer active cases than yesterday. 
      • No new communities have been added to this list. Berlin now has less than 20 people and has been removed from this list. 
      • There are now 32 NH communities with more than 20 active cases. Between them, these 32 communities have 1,695 active cases, accounting for 67% of all active cases. (Shown: # of active cases and change from two days ago).
      • Manchester: 199 (+18). Nashua: 197 (+31). Durham: 105 (+33). Salem: 76 (+7). Dover: 72 (+-2). Bedford: 69 (+8). Concord: 66 (+7). Rochester: 59 (+5). Derry: 58 (+12). Portsmouth: 58 (+2). Hudson: 52 (+9). Plymouth: 50 (+2). Windham: 49 (+7). Stewartstown: 45 (+24). Goffstown: 42 (+12). Londonderry: 42 (+3). Warner: 42 (+1). Merrimack: 39 (+3). Pelham: 39 (+7). Newport: 33 (+0). Hampton: 32 (+7). Hooksett: 31 (+10). Laconia: 28 (+1). Milford: 27 (+4). Raymond: 26 (+5). Colebrook: 25 (+2). Exeter: 25 (+2). Keene: 24 (+3). Pembroke: 23 (+1). Rindge: 22 (+2). Epping: 20 (+0). Sandown: 20 (+-5).  
    • These are the 52 communities that I am tracking because A.) they are one of the 44 communities that have had more than 50 total cases, or B.) I expect them to hit 50 total cases soon, or C.) they are a college community. Shown are the number of total cases, and the per capita rate of infection. (Lower means more people per population have had infections.) Stewartstown, with a population of 931, and 49 people with infections is the worst, with 1 out of every 19 persons having been diagnosed with COVID-19.
      • Stewartstown: 49 (1:19). Manchester: 2,639 (1:43). Bedford: 500 (1:45). Warner: 61 (1:48). Colebrook: 44 (1:48). Goffstown: 345 (1:52). Salem: 481 (1:61). Durham: 265 (1:61). Derry: 533 (1:63). Nashua: 1,402 (1:64). Plaistow: 101 (1:76). Plymouth: 90 (1:76). Sandown: 85 (1:77). Windham: 188 (1:79). Auburn: 69 (1:81). Hooksett: 167 (1:87). Londonderry: 294 (1:89). Pelham: 159 (1:89). Hudson: 285 (1:90). Milford: 177 (1:90). Portsmouth: 239 (1:92). Franklin: 93 (1:94). Brentwood: 49 (1:96). Rindge: 62 (1:98). Hampstead: 87 (1:99). Pembroke: 71 (1:101). Raymond: 103 (1:102). Epping: 68 (1:103). Weare: 85 (1:107). Seabrook: 83 (1:107). Merrimack: 243 (1:109). Dover: 289 (1:110). Hampton: 135 (1:115). Litchfield: 70 (1:123). Concord: 349 (1:124). Atkinson: 55 (1:130). Barrington: 69 (1:134). Farmington: 52 (1:134). Exeter: 111 (1:138). Bow: 56 (1:143). Newport: 43 (1:148). Rochester: 211 (1:149). Newmarket: 53 (1:173). Laconia: 93 (1:178). Somersworth: 67 (1:179). Berlin: 54 (1:187). Amherst: 57 (1:200). Conway: 44 (1:233). Hanover: 46 (1:249). Keene: 82 (1:278). Lebanon: 47 (1:290). Claremont: 29 (1:446).  
      • Nashua has passed 1,400 total cases, Bedford has had its 500th case, and Raymond and Plaistow have both passed 100 total cases. Farmington now has more than 50 cases.

• • • • • • DIAGNOSTIC TESTS IN NH • • • • • • 

  • New positive cases by my math (Total of today’s cases minus yesterday’s total): 322
  • New positive cases per DHHS: 323
    • 270 PCR tests
    • 53 Antigen tests
  • Children under 18 in new cases: 40
  • Total positive cases in NH: 13,470
  • Percentage of today’s tests that are positive per DHHS: 2.6%
  • Total PCR test results reported today (Positive results plus negative results): 4,447
  • The daily average of diagnostic (PCR) tests reported from 7 days ago to today: 2,331
  • New negative results reported today: 4,125
  • Total negative cases in NH: 361,578

• • • • • • ROCKINGHAM COUNTY • • • • • •

  • Total cases in Rockingham County: 3,273
  • New cases in Rockingham County: 70
  • Rockingham County: New cases per 100K residents: 22.6
  • Rockingham County 1-week average per 100K residents: 16.5
  • Rockingham County Positivity Rate: 3.8% 
  • Percent of all cases from Rockingham County: 24.3%
  • Percent of all cases from either Hillsborough County or Rockingham County: 71%

• • • • • • ACTIVE CASES • • • • • •

  • Active cases in NH: 2,528
  • Active cases in Rockingham County: 573
  • Percent of NH’s active cases that are in Rockingham County: 22.7%

• • • • • • OTHER TEST RESULTS • • • • • • 

  • New antibody tests: 34
  • Total antibody tests (No break downs of positive vs. negative): 32,523
  • The daily average of antibody tests reported from 7 days ago to today: 28

• • • • • • CHANGES BY AGES • • • • • • 
(Because we didn’t have access to this info yesterday, the changes are from Tuesday to Thursday.)

  • 0-9: +24 (4% of all cases; 4% of new cases)
  • 10-19: +74 (10% of all, was 9%; 13% today) 
  • 20-29: +109 (19% of all, was 19%; 20% today) 
  • 30-39: +70 (14% of all; +13% today)
  • 40-49: +68 (13% of all; 12% today)
  • 50-59: +77 (15% of all; 14% today)
  • 60-69: +70 (11% of all; 13% of today) 
  • 70-79: +31 (6% of all; 6% today) 
  • 80+: +27 (9% of all; 5% today) 
  • Unknown: +1 (0% of all; 0% today)

• • • • • • RECOVERED IN NH • • • • • • 

  • Announced today: 185
  • Total Recovered: 10,447
  • Percentage of diagnosed cases that have recovered: 77.6%

• • • • • • HOSPITALIZATIONS IN NH • • • • • • 

  • New: 4
  • Current: 64
  • Total Hospitalized: 804
  • Percentage of those who have been infected that have been hospitalized: 5.97%

• • • • • • DEATHS IN NH • • • • • • 

  • Lives lost today: 3
  • Persons over 60 years of age who died today: 3
  • Persons under 60 years of age who died today: 0
  • Total fatalities in NH associated with COVID-19: 495
  • NH Residents diagnosed with COVID-19 that died: 3.67%
  • Lives lost in Rockingham today: 0

These are not simply numbers. We must not forget that these are all someone’s husband or wife, mother or father, sister or brother, son or daughter, friend or neighbor.


“It may get worse before it gets better,

But it will get better.” 

— Mike Rawlings

Hello, Salem!

Today, NH had its first day with 300 new cases. In his press conference today, Governor Sununu said that he expects to see more than 1,000 people per day within two weeks.

Yesterday I wondered how the contact tracers are keeping up with all of the people who were being monitored. Today the Governor and his staff announced that, just as new cases are escalating, they are cutting back on contact tracing. 

The Governor is not considering a mask mandate, even though the CDC has finally agreed with what the medical experts have been saying: Masks protect others AND they protect the wearer. Good news for local businesses: he does not expect to revert to the shutdowns that we had last spring.

Hold onto your hat, we are in for a bumpy ride.

Try to stay positive, stay safe, and always, be kind.

~Bonnie




This screenshot comes from https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6942e2.htm?s_cid=mm6942e2_w

This report is explained here:
https://www.clickondetroit.com/health/2020/10/20/cdc-from-january-to-october-us-had-299k-more-deaths-than-in-previous-years/



This image has an empty alt attribute; its file name is Changes-by-month-877x1024.jpg

Useful links


Sources used to create these reports:

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