Posted on by Bonnie

COVID-19 Update November 16

COVID-19 Update November 16

  • Total: 534 confirmed cases in Salem today
  • 1 out of 55 Salem residents have been infected 
  • Salem Today: 16 new cases today; 97 active cases

NH DHHS’s website is back! There are still a few dashboards that are down, but they do not affect this update. 

Community Transmission (per NH Department of Health and Human Services): The overall level of community transmission is defined using three metrics.  A community is then assigned an overall level based on the highest-level determination for any specific metric. The metric which is changing the most right now is the number of new cases.

  • NH Community Transmission Metrics:
    • New Cases per 100k over 14 days: 
      • Scale: Minimal: <50; Moderate: 50 – 100; Substantial: >100. 
      • Daily average: 275.6 Substantial (was 201.0 on Thursday)
    • New hospitalizations per 100k over 14 days:
      • Scale: Minimal: <10; Moderate: 10 – 20; Substantial: >20, 
      • Daily average: 1.8%
    • Average PCR Test Positivity Rate over 7 days:
      • Scale: Minimal: <5%; Moderate: 5% – 10%; Substantial: >10%
      • Daily average: 3.5% (was 2.9 on Thursday)
    • New Hampshire’s Level of Transmission: Substantial
  • Rockingham County Transmission:
    • New Cases per 100k over 14 days: 259.1
    • New hospitalizations per 100k over 14 days: 0.6
    • Average PCR Test Positivity Rate over 7 days: 4.0 (was 3.8 on Thursday.)
    • Rockingham County’s Level of Transmission: Substantial
  • Other NH Locations, with changes from yesterday
    • Manchester: 373.4 new case average (was 198.8 on Thursday); 2.7 hospitalizations; 6.9% positivity. (was 4.2% on Thursday.)Substantial
    • Nashua: 421.9 new case average (Was 236.1 on Thursday); 4.5 hospitalizations (was 2.2 on Thursday); 6.9% positivity(was 236.1 on Thursday). Substantial (Positivity rate is now Moderate)
    • Hillsborough County excluding Manchester and Nashua: 233 new case average. Substantial
    • Coos County: 436.9 new case average; Substantial
    • Grafton County: 159.3 new case average; Substantial
    • Carroll County: 170.2 new case average; Substantial
    • Belknap County: 273.7 new case average; Substantial
    • Sullivan County: 183.1 new case average; Substantial
    • Merrimack: 183.1 new case average; Substantial
    • Strafford County: 318.2 new case average; Substantial
    • Cheshire County: 171.3 new case average; Moderate
  • Changes to New Cases per 100K for NH, all counties, and our two largest cities:
    • EVERY county (and both of our largest cities) are all experiencing a substantial level of transmission.
    • Every county and our two biggest cities had substantial increases in the number of new cases per 100K in the past week: Nashua: +222.7. Manchester: +189.8. Belknap: +134.4. Strafford: 98.4. All NH: +97.5. Hillsborough except Manchester and Nashua: 82.6. Rockingham: +70.5. Cheshire: +64.1. Carroll: +63.6. Merrimack: +58.2. Sullivan: +37.1. Coos: +19.0. Grafton: +19.0.
    • All communities have more than 100 new cases per 100k residents over the last 14 days, so even if the positivity rates are less than five, the new cases per 100K residents will determine the community transmission level.
    • At 6.9%, Nashua has the highest positivity rate. Its positivity rate put them at moderate level of community transmission. So far, this is the only community with a moderate level of positivity rate. 

• • • • • • TODAY’S SPOTLIGHT • • • • • •

  • Today in NH, the number of new cases is 358 per NH DHHS, with a change in cumulative cases of 358. 
  • Today’s positivity rate is 4.3%, which is almost twice as much as yesterday. 
  • Salem now has 528 residents who have been infected with COVID-19. Across the State, only three communities have more than Salem:  Manchester (2867), Nashua (1600 and Derry (564), 
  • Today, 97 Salem residents are considered by NH DHHS to be infectious. That is lower than our peak, which was 118 active infections on May 19. On Sept 30, we had less than 5.
  • Only three communities have more active cases than Salem: Manchester (378), Nashua (354) and Durham (136).
  • 64 NH children under 18 are included in today’s new cases. That’s a new record, breaking the record that we set yesterday by 14 kids. There have been 463 NH kids infected in the past two weeks.
  • The number of persons being monitored in NH has increased for 13 of the previous 16 days. Today it went up to 6,200 which set another new record.
  • There are 3,344 active cases today, the 6th consecutive day of exceeding the old record of 2,290 which we saw on May 19, and the 17th consecutive day with an increase, despite the number of people who have recovered over these same 17 days. 
  • Something odd has been happening over the last three days regarding the number of people who have been hospitalized. NH DHHS has not announced that anymore new people were hospitalized in the 24-hours covered by this report. However, the number of unique NH hospitalizations have increased all three days. I question whether this could be a problem with the database that runs the website. 
  • The number of people currently hospitalized with COVID-19 is now 74. The peak was May 12, when we were up to 121 patients. The low was September 12, when we only had a total of six COVID patients in NH hospitals.
  • The total number of ICU patients increased by four from Thursday to today, and by 13 in the last two weeks. The state does not report the number of people who are currently in the ICU, only the cumulative total, which is now 270.
  • We lost one more person due to COVID-19 during the 24-hour covered by this report, bringing the number of NH people who have died to 500.

Communities:

  • NH DHHS says that today’s new cases reside in Rockingham (75), Hillsborough County other than Manchester and Nashua (48), Merrimack (34), Strafford (26), Cheshire (17), Belknap (12), Carroll (7), Grafton (7), Sullivan (7), and Coos (5) counties, and in the cities of Manchester (66) and Nashua (40). The county of residence is being determined for fourteen new cases. 
  • Active cases:
    • 319 people were reported as “recovered” today; these are reflected in today’s changes. 
    • 23 communities have fewer active cases than yesterday. Three communities — Colebrook, Epping, and Wolfeboro — now have less than 20 active cases each and have been removed from the list.
    • One more community — Belmont — now has more than 20 active cases.
    • There are now 33 NH communities with more than 20 active cases. Between them, these 33 communities have 2,258 active cases, accounting for 68% of all active cases. 
    • Three communities have more than 100 active cases: Manchester (378), Nashua (354) and Durham (136). Salem is fourth, with 97. 
    • 20 communities have fewer active cases today than they had yesterday.
    • Notable net changes in active cases from yesterday: Manchester: 378 (+62). Nashua: 354 (+40). Belmont: 20 (+20). Newport: 42 (+3). Portsmouth: 70 (+2). Raymond: 41 (+2). Salem: 97 (+2). Berlin: 21 (+1). Merrimack: 52 (+1). Rindge: 31 (+1). Warner: 47 (+1). Dover: 82 (+0). Hooksett: 41 (+0). Concord: 72 (-1). Derry: 69 (-1). Exeter: 33 (-1). Pelham: 36 (-1). Sandown: 28 (-1). Tilton: 25 (-1). Bedford: 78 (-2). Goffstown: 42 (-2). Hudson: 71 (-2). Keene: 28 (-2). Plymouth: 54 (-2). Hampton: 40 (-3). Pembroke: 21 (-3). Stewartstown: 39 (-3). Windham: 47 (-3). Laconia: 34 (-5). Durham: 136 (-6). Milford: 23 (-6). Londonderry: 52 (-7). Rochester: 54 (-12).    
  • Cumulative Cases         
    • Since yesterday, five communities—Allenstown, Alton, Belmont, Conway and Stewartstown— have each had their 50th cumulative cases. Several others are very close.
    • Franklin now has over 100 total infections and Windham now has more than 200 total infections.
    • Two communities have more than 1,000 total cases: Manchester (2867) and Nashua (1600). Three more have more than 500: Derry (564), Salem (534) and Bedford (522).
    • Some of the communities with 50 or more total cases, and significant changes in cumulative cases for the past two day are: Manchester: 2867 (+118). Nashua: 1600 (+67). Salem: 534 (+29). Durham: 321 (+22). Merrimack: 273 (+21). Dover: 326 (+20). Derry: 564 (+17). Concord: 378 (+17). Londonderry: 324 (+15). Portsmouth: 262 (+15). Hudson: 319 (+11). Rochester: 232 (+10). Raymond: 126 (+10). Hampton: 151 (+9). Windham: 201 (+8). Pelham: 175 (+8). Laconia: 109 (+8). Amherst: 71 (+8). Goffstown: 363 (+7). Exeter: 122 (+7). Franklin: 102 (+7). Rindge: 83 (+7). Newport: 58 (+7). Bedford: 522 (+6). Hooksett: 190 (+6). Litchfield: 82 (+6). Atkinson: 62 (+6). Weare: 95 (+4). Pembroke: 80 (+4). Epping: 75 (+4). Bow: 64 (+4). Hanover: 55 (+4). Hillsborough: 53 (+2). Alton: 53 (+2). Stewartstown: 51 (+2).  

• • • • • • DIAGNOSTIC TESTS IN NH • • • • • •

  • New positive cases by my math (Total of today’s cases minus yesterday’s total): 358
  • New positive cases per DHHS: 358
    • 193 PCR tests
    • 165 Antigen tests
  • Children under 18 in new cases: 64
  • Total positive cases in NH: 15,029
  • Percentage of today’s tests that are positive per DHHS: 4.3%
  • Total PCR test results reported today (Positive results plus negative results): 2856
  • The daily average of diagnostic (PCR) tests reported from 7 days ago to today: 2,789
  • New negative results reported today: 2,490
  • Total negative cases in NH: 372,579

• • • • • • ROCKINGHAM COUNTY • • • • • • 

  • Total cases in Rockingham County: 3,589
  • New cases in Rockingham County: 75
  • Rockingham County: New cases per 100K residents: 24.2
  • Rockingham County 1-week average per 100K residents: 21.8
  • Rockingham County Positivity Rate: 4.0%
  • Percent of all cases from Rockingham County: 23.9%
  • Percent of all cases from either Hillsborough County or Rockingham County: 70.0%.

• • • • • • ACTIVE CASES • • • • • •

  • Active cases in NH: 3,344
  • Active cases in Rockingham County: 690
  • Percent of NH’s active cases that are in Rockingham County: Was 20.6% on Thursday.

• • • • • • OTHER TEST RESULTS • • • • • • 

  • New antibody tests: 9
  • Total antibody tests (No break downs of positive vs. negative): 32,656
  • The daily average of antibody tests reported from 7 days ago to today: 36

• • • • • • CHANGES BY AGES • • • • • •  
(Because we have had missing data recently, the comparisons are Today vs one week ago

  • 0-9: +90 new cases (4% of all cases; 4% of new cases this week)
  • 10-19: +296 (10% of all; 14% of new) 
  • 20-29: +435 (19% of all; 21% of new) 
  • 30-39: +274 (14% of all; +13% of new)
  • 40-49: +293 (13% of all; 14% of new)
  • 50-59: +302 (15% of all; 14% of new)
  • 60-69: +224 (11% of all; 11% of new) 
  • 70-79: +204 (6% of all; 5% of new) 
  • 80+: +85 (8% of all (was 9%); 4% of new) 
  • Unknown: +7 (0% of all; 0% of new)
  • Total: 2,110 new cases in the past week.

• • • • • • RECOVERED IN NH • • • • • • 

  • Announced today: 319
  • Total Recovered: 11,185
  • Percentage of diagnosed cases that have recovered: 74.4%

• • • • • • HOSPITALIZATIONS IN NH • • • • • • 

  • New: 3? (NH DHHS reports no new cases, but the cumulative count has gone up by three. I don’t recall seeing this kind of discrepancy before this week, but this is the third day in a row.)
  • Current: 74
  • Total Hospitalized: 817
  • Percentage of those who have been infected that have been hospitalized: 5.44%

• • • • • • DEATHS IN NH • • • • • • 

  • Lives lost today: 1
  • Persons over 60 years of age who died today: 1
  • Persons under 60 years of age who died today: 0
  • Total fatalities in NH associated with COVID-19: 500
  • NH Residents diagnosed with COVID-19 that died: 3.33%
  • Lives lost in Rockingham today: 0

These are not simply numbers. We must not forget that these are all someone’s husband or wife, mother or father, sister or brother, son or daughter, friend or neighbor.

“Shallow men believe in luck;
wise and strong men in the cause and effect.”

– Ralph Waldo Emerson

Hello, Salem!

We have the raw data that is used for these updates again! Yay!!!

Look for the good. Try to stay positive. Stay safe, and always, be kind.

~Bonnie

This screenshot comes from https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6942e2.htm?s_cid=mm6942e2_w

This report is explained here:
https://www.clickondetroit.com/health/2020/10/20/cdc-from-january-to-october-us-had-299k-more-deaths-than-in-previous-years/

This image has an empty alt attribute; its file name is Changes-by-month-877x1024.jpg

Useful links

Sources used to create these reports:

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