Posted on by Bonnie

COVID-19 Update November 25

COVID-19 Update November 25

  • Total: 658 confirmed cases in Salem
  • 1 out of 45 Salem residents have been infected 
  • Salem Today: 9 new cases today; 125 active cases

• • • • • • Community Transmission • • • • • •

Community Transmission (per NH Department of Health and Human Services): The overall level of community transmission is defined using three metrics.  A community is then assigned an overall level based on the highest-level determination for any specific metric. The metric which is changing the most right now is the number of new cases.

  • NH Community Transmission Metrics:
    • New Cases per 100k over 14 days: 
      • Scale: Minimal: <50; Moderate: 50 – 100; Substantial: >100. 
      • Daily average: 416.6 Substantial
    • New hospitalizations per 100k over 14 days:
      • Scale: Minimal: <10; Moderate: 10 – 20; Substantial: >20, 
      • Daily average: 1.4%
    • Average PCR Test Positivity Rate over 7 days:
      • Scale: Minimal: <5%; Moderate: 5% – 10%; Substantial: >10%
      • Daily average: 4.2%
    • New Hampshire’s Level of Transmission: Substantial
  • Rockingham County Transmission:
    • New Cases per 100k over 14 days: 410.8
    • New hospitalizations per 100k over 14 days: 1.3
    • Average PCR Test Positivity Rate over 7 days: 5.1
    • Rockingham County’s Level of Transmission: Substantial
  • Other NH Locations
    • The highest level of the three metrics determines the level of community transmission. All 10 Counties, and our two major cities remain at a Substantial level of transmission, as all have new cases per 100K over 2 weeks at over 100.
    • Manchester’s PCR positivity rate puts our largest city in the substantial transmission level. 
    • Rockingham and Belknap counties and Nashua are in the moderate transmission level for their PCR positivity rate.

• • • • • • TODAY’S SPOTLIGHT • • • • • •

  • We had another 9 new people in Salem with confirmed cases of COVID-19, bringing the total to 658. The average for the last week is 13 people per day.
  • Salem’s active cases decreased by 7 to 125. The daily average for the past week is 132. The daily average for the past two weeks is 113. We see recovered cases about two weeks after new cases are reported, so this is not unexpected. I’m looking for the one-week average to be less than the two-week average.
  • Today in NH, the number of new cases is 402 per NH DHHS, but the total number of cases from yesterday to today only went up by 394. 
  • The number of persons being monitored in NH is 6,850. This the highest.
  • Today, 44 kids under 18 were diagnosed with COVID-19. 303 children were diagnosed in the past week. 
  • There are 4,293 active cases in NH today. This is the first day that this number has not gone up since October 28, but it is still more than double the count from 17 days ago. 
  • Today’s positivity rate is 3.2%. The average for the past week is 3.3%.
  • When the number of patients started growing, the State stopped reporting the number of new hospitalized patients, only the total number of patients who have been hospitalized. The count is only found by comparing yesterday’s total to today’s total.
  • One more person was hospitalized in NH with COVID-19, bringing the cumulative total to 833. The current hospital census is 125, four more than yesterday. This is one less than the record of 126 people who were hospitalized on May 13. 
  • There was no change in the number of patients who have been admitted to an ICU. The state does not report the number of people who are currently in the ICU, only the cumulative total, which is 277. We do not know the ages of those patients.
  • One person died today from COVID-19. NH has lost 10 people this week.

• • • • • • Communities • • • • • •

  • NH DHHS says that the new cases reside in Rockingham (105), Hillsborough County other than Manchester and Nashua (53), Merrimack (45), Strafford (24), Belknap (22), Cheshire (14), Grafton (7), Carroll (6), Sullivan (6), and Coos (4) counties, and in the cities of Manchester (69) and Nashua (23). The county of residence is being determined for twenty- four new cases. 
  • Active cases:
    • 411 people were reported as “recovered” today; these are reflected in today’s changes. 
    • Two communities — Pembroke and Weare —now have less than 20 active cases, and have been removed from the list.
    • 15 of the remaining communities that had 20 active cases yesterday have fewer active cases today than yesterday.
    • Three communities — Gilford, Hampstead and Stratam— now have more than 20 active cases
    • After these adjustments, there are now 43 NH communities with more than 20 active cases. Between them, these communities have 3,181 active case, accounting for 74% of all active cases.
    • Keene again has more than 50 active cases who are currently infectious. Manchester, with 94 new active cases, now has more than 800.
    • Five communities — Manchester, Nashua, Salem, Concord, and Derry— have more than 100 active cases.
    • Only Manchester and Nashua have more active cases than Salem.
    • Notable net changes in active cases from yesterday: Manchester: 809 (+94). Derry: 100 (+6). Hudson: 96 (+6). Merrimack: 92 (+6). Milford: 39 (+5). Fremont: 24 (+4). Salem: 125 (+3). Atkinson: 27 (+3). Bedford: 82 (+3). Hollis: 24 (+3). Hooksett: 77 (+3). Keene: 58 (+3). Nashua: 384 (+3). Hampstead: 22 (+2). Plaistow: 30 (+2). Seabrook: 42 (+2). Tilton: 58 (+2). Auburn: 23 (+1). Gilford: 21 (+1). Goffstown: 51 (+1). Moultonborough: 21 (+1). Rindge: 20 (+1). Somersworth: 31 (+1). Laconia: 40 (+0). Meredith: 35 (+0). Stratham: 22 (+0). Weare: 18 (+0). Windham: 44 (+0). Allenstown: 22 (-1). Belmont: 28 (-1). Concord: 109 (-1). Exeter: 27 (-1). Litchfield: 34 (-1). Londonderry: 89 (-1). Raymond: 31 (-1). Hampton: 68 (-2). Pelham: 54 (-2). Pembroke: 18 (-2). Portsmouth: 50 (-2). Dover: 50 (-5). Stewartstown: 41 (-5). Rochester: 77 (-7). Durham: 68 (-10).   
  • Cumulative Cases
    • There are 72 communities that have had 50 or more cases.
    • There are no new communities that have had more than 50 cumulative cases.
    • Londonderry now has more than 400 total cases. Manchester has now exceeded a total of 3500 people infected with COVID-19 since this pandemic began.
    • Manchester, Nashua, Derry, Salem and Bedford have had more than 500 cases.
    • Some of the communities with 50 or more total cases, and significant changes in cumulative cases since yesterday are: Manchester: 3523 (+69). Nashua: 1866 (+25). Londonderry: 411 (+18). Hooksett: 264 (+15). Hudson: 415 (+12). Salem: 658 (+9). Derry: 666 (+9). Concord: 480 (+9). Keene: 145 (+9). Bedford: 596 (+8). Pelham: 229 (+8). Durham: 381 (+7). Merrimack: 358 (+6). Auburn: 98 (+6). Tilton: 91 (+6). Goffstown: 414 (+5). Portsmouth: 319 (+5). Rochester: 313 (+5). Hampstead: 118 (+5). Gilford: 64 (+5). Newton: 56 (+5). Hampton: 218 (+4). Litchfield: 112 (+4). Atkinson: 88 (+4).  

• • • • • • DIAGNOSTIC TESTS IN NH • • • • • •

  • New positive cases by my math (Total of today’s cases minus yesterday’s total): 394
  • New positive cases per DHHS: 402
    • 319 PCR tests
    • 83 Antigen tests
  • Children under 18 in new cases: 44
  • Total positive cases in NH: 18,776
  • Percentage of today’s tests that are positive per DHHS: 3.2%
  • Total PCR test results reported today (Positive results plus negative results): 3,379
  • The daily average of diagnostic (PCR) tests reported from 7 days ago to today: 2,223
  • New negative results reported today: 2,985
  • Total negative cases in NH: 392,271

• • • • • • ROCKINGHAM COUNTY • • • • • • 

  • Total cases in Rockingham County: 4,474
  • New cases in Rockingham County: 105
  • Rockingham County: New cases per 100K residents: 33.9
  • Rockingham County 1-week average per 100K residents: 32.1
  • Rockingham County Positivity Rate: 5.1%
  • Percent of all cases from Rockingham County: 23.8%
  • Percent of all cases from either Hillsborough County or Rockingham County: 69%.

• • • • • • ACTIVE CASES • • • • • •

  • Active cases in NH: 4,293
  • Active cases in Rockingham County: 903
  • Percent of NH’s active cases that are in Rockingham County: 21.0%

• • • • • • OTHER TEST RESULTS • • • • • • 

  • New antibody tests: 57
  • Total antibody tests (No break downs of positive vs. negative): 33,024
  • The daily average of antibody tests reported from 7 days ago to today: 45

• • • • • • CHANGES BY AGES • • • • • •  
(Total infections, percentage of all infections, and increase from yesterday to today)

  • 0-9: 673 = 4% (+20).
  • 10-19: 1880 = 10% (+40).
  • 20-29: 3652 = 19% (+91).
  • 30-39: 2664 = 14% (+59).
  • 40-49: 2418 = 13% (+48).
  • 50-59: 2883 = 15% (+62).
  • 60-69: 2068 = 11% (+44).
  • 70-79: 1134 = 6% (+17).
  • 80+: 1394 = 7% (+16).
  • Unknown: 10 = 0% (+-3).

• • • • • • RECOVERED IN NH • • • • • • 

  • Announced today: 411
  • Total Recovered: 13,969
  • Percentage of diagnosed cases that have recovered: 74.4%

• • • • • • HOSPITALIZATIONS IN NH • • • • • • 

  • New: 1
  • Current: 125
  • Total Hospitalized: 833
  • Percentage of those who have been infected that have been hospitalized: 4.44%
  • Total admitted to ICU: 276

• • • • • • DEATHS IN NH • • • • • • 

  • Lives lost today: 1
  • Persons over 60 years of age who died today: 1
  • Persons under 60 years of age who died today: 0
  • Total fatalities in NH associated with COVID-19: 514
  • NH Residents diagnosed with COVID-19 that died: 2.74%
  • Lives lost in Rockingham today: 0

These are not simply numbers. We must not forget that these are all someone’s husband or wife, mother or father, sister or brother, son or daughter, friend or neighbor.

“Thanksgiving comes to us out of the prehistoric dimness, universal to all ages and all faiths. At whatever straws we must grasp, there is always a time for gratitude and new beginnings.” 

– J. Robert Moskin

Hello, Salem!

Tomorrow is Thanksgiving. I recognize that, for my native American friends, this is not a day to celebrate. But this is 2020. As Mr. Moskin said, there is always a time for gratitude and new beginnings. I hope, regardless of how you feel about the day, that you can reflect on the good things in your life, and look forward to a better future. Try to stay positive. Enjoy your day.

NH DHHS has announced that they will not be doing a dashboard update tomorrow. 

Happy Thanksgiving.

As always, stay safe, and always, be kind.

~Bonnie

From the beginning of the pandemic, it took 43 days before NH reached it’s first 1,000 confirmed diagnoses. It took 44 days to go from 10,000 to 18,000.

This screenshot comes from https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6942e2.htm?s_cid=mm6942e2_w

This report is explained here:
https://www.clickondetroit.com/health/2020/10/20/cdc-from-january-to-october-us-had-299k-more-deaths-than-in-previous-years/

Useful links

Sources used to create these reports:

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