COVID-19 Update November 28
The numbers from NH DHHS are still incomplete, so there is no community transmission, no ages, and no geographic info available.
From today’s Press Release: “On Saturday, November 28, 2020, DHHS announced 702 new positive test results for COVID-19, including 460 people who tested positive by PCR test and 242 people who tested positive by antigen test. There are now 4,837 current COVID-19 cases diagnosed in New Hampshire. Of the results reported today, 417 new positive test results are from Thursday, 11/26, for a daily PCR test positivity rate of 4.3%, and 285 new positive test results are from Friday, 11/27. Test results received Friday are still being processed and the total number of new positives for that day is not yet complete. Updated case counts for prior days will be reflected on the COVID-19 interactive dashboard.”
The thing is: The Interactive Dashboard has not been updated since November 25. And none of the other dashboards or map info has been updated since then, either.
It appears that today’s results are being spread out over two days, so the count won’t be so staggering.
The Associated Press wasn’t kidding when they reported that “Virus numbers could be erratic after Thanksgiving,” although they were referencing the expectation that fewer people would get tested during the Thanksgiving holiday weekend and testing sites observe shorter hours, not delays in reporting the info received from the labs.
• • • • • • Community Transmission • • • • • •
The State did not update the dashboard with the data needed for this section.
• • • • • • TODAY’S SPOTLIGHT • • • • • •
- Today in NH, the number of new cases is 702 per NH DHHS, but the total number of cases from yesterday to today only went up by 689. Of the 702, 417 are from Thursday, and 285 are from Friday. The other results are comingled, so it’s impossible to break them out separately. (Results from Thursday would normally be reported on Friday; results from Friday would normally be reported today, as NH DHHS reports based on a 24-hour period ending at 9:00 a.m.
- A number of new records were broken today:
- 702 new cases go down as a one day’s count, even though it was over two days.
- Same with Rockingham County, which was 177 new cases.
- We broke 20,000 for the count of total cases.
- The positivity rate is 4.3%. The previous record since I’ve been tracking this ratio was also 4.3% on November 16. (It’s possible that it was this high last spring, but that info isn’t available.)
- The number of persons being monitored in NH is 7,200. Yesterday was the first time this broke 7000, and today is more than yesterday. The two-week average is 6,350.
- Persons with Tests Pending at NH Public Health Labs is 2,639. The two-week average from 11/15-11/28 is 1,390. From 10/15-10/28, the daily average was only 617.
- 65 children under 18 were just diagnosed with COVID-19.
- The number of active cases has gone up every day except one for the past month. Today is no exception. As of this report, 4,837 people are currently infectious.
- The number of patients currently hospitalized has reached a new high of 133 patients.
- I have updated the blue graph of cases by 1,000.
• • • • • • Communities • • • • • •
- NH DHHS says that the new cases reside in Rockingham (177), Hillsborough County other than Manchester and Nashua (104), Merrimack (73), Cheshire (48), Strafford (35), Belknap (27), Carroll (15), Grafton (15), Sullivan (12), and Coos (1) counties, and in the cities of Manchester (106) and Nashua (63). The county of residence is being determined for twenty-six new cases.
- None of the other geographic information was released today.
• • • • • • DIAGNOSTIC TESTS IN NH • • • • • •
- New positive cases by my math (Total of today’s cases minus previous total): 689
- New positive cases per DHHS: 702
- 460 PCR tests
- 242 Antigen tests
- Children under 18 in new cases: 65
- Total positive cases in NH: 20,002
- Percentage of today’s tests that are positive per DHHS: 4.3%
- Total PCR test results reported today (Positive results plus negative results): 2,868
- The daily average of diagnostic (PCR) tests reported from 7 days ago to today: 1,691
- New negative results reported today: 2,179
- Total negative cases in NH: 396,156
• • • • • • ROCKINGHAM COUNTY • • • • • •
- Total cases in Rockingham County: 4,776
- New cases in Rockingham County: 177
- Rockingham County: New cases per 100K residents: 57.1
- Rockingham County 1-week average per 100K residents: 35.2
- Rockingham County Positivity Rate: ?
- Percent of all cases from Rockingham County: ?
- Percent of all cases from either Hillsborough County or Rockingham County: ?
• • • • • • ACTIVE CASES • • • • • •
- Active cases in NH: 4,837
- Active cases in Rockingham County: ?
- Percent of NH’s active cases that are in Rockingham County: ?%
• • • • • • OTHER TEST RESULTS • • • • • •
- New antibody tests: 47
- Total antibody tests (No break downs of positive vs. negative): 33,136
- The daily average of antibody tests reported from 7 days ago to today: 46
• • • • • • CHANGES BY AGES • • • • • •
The dashboard with this info was not updated today.
• • • • • • RECOVERED IN NH • • • • • •
- Announced today: 416
- Total Recovered: 14,642
- Percentage of diagnosed cases that have recovered: 73.2%
• • • • • • HOSPITALIZATIONS IN NH • • • • • •
- New people hospitalized from NH: 1
- Currently hospitalized: 133
- Total hospitalized patients: 837
- Percentage of those who have been infected that have been hospitalized: 4.18%
- Total admitted to ICU: ?
- New hospitalized patients from Rockingham County: ?
- Total hospitalized patients from Rockingham County: ?
• • • • • • DEATHS IN NH • • • • • •
- Lives lost today: 6
- Persons over 60 years of age who died today: 6
- Persons under 60 years of age who died today: 0
- Total fatalities in NH associated with COVID-19: 523
- NH Residents diagnosed with COVID-19 that died: 2.61%
- Lives lost in Rockingham County today: 2
- Total lives lost in Rockingham County: 109
These are not simply numbers. We must not forget that these are all someone’s husband or wife, mother or father, sister or brother, son or daughter, friend or neighbor.
One of these days, we will have numbers for Salem again. With 177 new infections announced in Rockingham County today, and 124 the day before, we can be sure that there are new infections in Salem. The question is: How many new infections?
As of Wednesday, Salem’s cumulative total was 15% of all cases in Rockingham County. Based on that, and today’s cumulative total for Rockingham County, today we could have our total as high as 716, an increase of 58 since Wednesday.
But if we look at just the new cases on Wednesday, Salem only accounted for 8% of the new cases. That would give us just 24 new cases since Wednesday, bringing us to 682 for today’s total.
And if we look at the 37 new infections in the past three days. If we add that amount to the missing three days (Thursday, Friday, and Saturday), today we would have a new cumulative total of 695.
Tomorrow — HOPEFULLY — we will have all of the numbers for the previous four days, from Thursday through Sunday. I’m going to be pleasantly surprised if our cumulative total doesn’t pass 700.
However, at this point, how important is it that we know the exact number? We knew on Wednesday that only three communities have had more people with confirmed cases than Salem. We knew on Wednesday that only two communities have had more active cases than Salem for some time. We know that COVID-19 is here, and that it’s growing like a wildfire with humans for its fuel. Whether our cumulative total is 650 or 800, if our active cases are 75 or 200, would we act any differently? I would like to think not.
Enjoy the rest of the weekend, but stay smart, stay safe, and always, be kind.
This video was posted almost two months ago. Things have changed in that time. On October 2, US deaths were 1,035,451, according to the video. (My records say 1,033,174 per WorldOmeter.) WorldOMeter now says the global death rate is 1,446,889, an increase of 413,715 in less than two months. Just please remember that there is a lot more between COVID->Death vs. COVID->Recovery. More and more, long-haulers are making the news, as are other consequences of COVID-19.
From the beginning of the pandemic, it took 43 days before NH reached it’s first 1,000 confirmed diagnoses. It took 31 days to go from 10,000 to 18,000. In another 5 days, we added another 2,000.
This screenshot comes from https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6942e2.htm?s_cid=mm6942e2_w
This report is explained here:
- Rent or mortgage assistance because of COVID-19, help can be found here.
- Salem Resource Center of Southern NH Services: Housing relief and fuel assistance. 603-893-9172. https://www.snhs.org
- Legal issues because of COVID: https://nhlegalaid.org/legal-issues-during-covid-19-crisis.
- Unemployment resources: https://www.bonnie4salem.us/unemployed/
- COVID-19 testing: https://www.bonnie4salem.us/covid-19-testing/
- Complications of COVID-19: https://www.bonnie4salem.us/covid-19-consequences/
- COVID-19 is not the flu. Here are the numbers: https://www.bonnie4salem.us/covid-pneumonia-flu/
- The Science Behind Masks: https://www.bonnie4salem.us/science-behind-masks/
- Resources for Salem residents: https://www.bonnie4salem.us/covid-19-cases-in-salem/
- Safer at Home guidance documents on the State’s website.
- Other COVID resources from NH DHHS on the State’s website.
- Other COVID resources: https://www.bonnie4salem.us/covid-19-resources/
- Massachusetts Travel Order: https://www.bonnie4salem.us/massachusetts-travel-order/
- Mental health resources
- NAMI, the National Alliance on Mental Health. 24-hour hotline: 1-800-950-6264. https://www.nami.org/Home
- Center for Life Management (603) 434-1577, Option 1. https://www.centerforlifemanagement.org/
- #SuicideAwareness: 1-800-273-8255.
Sources used to create these reports: