Posted on by Bonnie

COVID-19 Update November 29

COVID-19 Update November 29

  • Total: 698 confirmed cases in Salem
  • 1 out of 43 Salem residents have been infected 
  • Salem Today: 40 new cases since Wednesday; 119 active cases

NH DHHS continues with confusing messages. It sure would be nice if they could get their act together.

From today’s Press Release: “On Sunday, November 29, 2020, DHHS announced 491 new positive test results for COVID-19, including 258 people who tested positive by PCR test and 233 who tested positive by antigen test. There are now 4,995 current COVID-19 cases diagnosed in New Hampshire. Of the results reported today, 259 new positive test results are from Friday, 11/27; the Friday cases announced today combined with those announced yesterday results in a daily PCR test positivity rate of 5.2%. Today’s cases also include 232 new positive test results from Saturday, 11/28. Test results received Saturday are still being processed and the total number of new positives for that day is not yet complete. Updated case counts for prior days will be reflected on the COVID- 19 interactive dashboard.”

• • • • • • Community Transmission • • • • • •

Community Transmission (per NH Department of Health and Human Services): The overall level of community transmission is defined using three metrics.  A community is then assigned an overall level based on the highest-level determination for any specific metric. The metric which is changing the most right now is the number of new cases.

  • NH Community Transmission Metrics:
    • New Cases per 100k over 14 days: 
      • Scale: Minimal: <50; Moderate: 50 – 100; Substantial: >100. 
      • Daily average: 433.0  (1 week ago: 305.0) Substantial
    • New hospitalizations per 100k over 14 days:
      • Scale: Minimal: <10; Moderate: 10 – 20; Substantial: >20, 
      • Daily average: 1.0 (1 week ago was 1.3)
    • Average PCR Test Positivity Rate over 7 days:
      • Scale: Minimal: <5%; Moderate: 5% – 10%; Substantial: >10%
      • Daily average: 4.6% (1 week ago was 4.1%)
    • New Hampshire’s Level of Transmission: Substantial
  • Rockingham County Transmission:
    • New Cases per 100k over 14 days: 454.8 (1 week ago was 410.8)
    • New hospitalizations per 100k over 14 days: 1.0 (1 week ago was 1.0)
    • Average PCR Test Positivity Rate over 7 days: 5.5 (1 week ago was 5.0)
    • Rockingham County’s Level of Transmission: Substantial
  • Other NH Locations
    • The highest level of the three metrics determines the level of community transmission. All 10 counties, and our two major cities, remain at a substantial level of transmission, as all have new cases per 100K over 2 weeks at over 100.
    • Manchester’s PCR positivity rate had been over 10.0, which put our largest city in the substantial transmission level for this metric. Today they are 10.0, which brings them down to a moderate level for positivity rate.
    • Rockingham County and Nashua are also in the moderate transmission level for their PCR positivity rate. Belknap County has dropped to below 5.0, bring them to the minimal level for this metric, joining all of the other counties.

• • • • • • TODAY’S SPOTLIGHT • • • • • •

  • The info from NH DHHS is a bit confusing. They have split Friday’s info between two days, and now they are splitting Saturday’s info between today and tomorrow. <sigh>
  • From Wednesday through the info shared today, Salem has another 40 people added to our confirmed cases of COVID-19, bringing the total to 698. 
  • From Wednesday to today, NH DHHS marked 1,441 more people as “recovered.” A number of those were from Salem.
  • Although we added 40 new people with infections, Salem’s active cases decreased from Wednesday to today by 6 to 119.
  • Salem has had the third most active cases for a while. In addition to Manchester and Nashua, we have now been surpassed by Derry and Concord. 
  • Salem has had more cumulative cases than Manchester, Nashua, and Derry, and, after today’s new numbers, we continue to have that dubious honor.
  • Today, 62 kids under 18 were diagnosed with COVID-19. 618 children were diagnosed in the past two weeks. 
  • There are 4,955 active cases in NH today. This count has gone up every day except one since October 28. Today is more than double the count from 18 days ago. 
  • Today’s positivity rate is 5.2% per NH DHHS’s press release, but it is 4.6% on the dashboard. The press release discusses numbers from Friday. If Saturday’s numbers are included on the dashboard, it MIGHT explain the discrepancy. Maybe.
  • Two more people were hospitalized in NH with COVID-19 since yesterday’s report, bringing the cumulative total to 839. However, the current hospital census is 146, 13 more than was reported by NH DHHS yesterday. This is another new high.
  • Three more patients were admitted to an ICU Since Wednesday. The state does not report the number of people who are currently in the ICU, only the cumulative total, which is 279. We do not know the ages of those patients.
  • Three more people died today from COVID-19. NH has lost 14 people in the past week.
  • I updated the graph with Salem’s confirmed cases of COVID-19.

• • • • • • Communities • • • • • •

  • NH DHHS says that the new cases reside in Rockingham (142), Hillsborough County other than Manchester and Nashua (91), Merrimack (47), Strafford (28), Carroll (14), Cheshire (14), Belknap (13), Grafton (13), Sullivan (6), and Coos (5) counties, and in the cities of Manchester (54) and Nashua (41). The county of residence is being determined for twenty-three new cases. 
  • Active cases:
    • 357 people were reported as “recovered” today; these are reflected in today’s changes. 
    • Three communities — Gilford, Rindge, and Stratham — now have less than 20 active cases and have been removed from the list.
    • Three communities, while still under 20 active cases, still had significant increases: Lisbon: 7 (+7); Greenland: 12 (+7); Newmarket: 17 (+7).
    • 7 of the remaining communities that had 20 active cases yesterday have fewer active cases today than yesterday, including Salem.
    • Three communities — Bow, Colebrook, Conway, Epsom, Henniker, Newport, and Pembroke— now have more than 20 active cases
    • After these adjustments, there are now 45 NH communities with more than 20 active cases. Between them, these communities have 3,781 active cases, accounting for 76% of all active cases.
    • Manchester now has more than 900 active cases. Nashua now has more than 400 active cases. Merrimack, Londonderry, Bedford, and Hudson now have more than 100 cases. Windham now has more than 50 active cases.
    • Five communities — Manchester, Nashua, Salem, Concord, and Derry— have more than 100 active cases.
    • Manchester, Nashua, and now Derry and Concord all have more active cases than Salem.
    • Notable net changes in active cases since Wednesday: Manchester: 973 (+164). Nashua: 445 (+61). Derry: 131 (+31). Keene: 87 (+29). Bedford: 108 (+26). Hampton: 92 (+24). Portsmouth: 73 (+23). Londonderry: 109 (+20). Merrimack: 112 (+20). Concord: 128 (+19). Pelham: 70 (+16). Goffstown: 66 (+15). Rochester: 90 (+13). Windham: 57 (+13). Exeter: 39 (+12). Hudson: 107 (+11). Henniker: 23 (+10). Tilton: 68 (+10). Conway: 28 (+9). Hampstead: 31 (+9). Plaistow: 39 (+9). Moultonborough: 29 (+8). Bow: 25 (+7). Stewartstown: 48 (+7). Hollis: 30 (+6). Somersworth: 37 (+6). Colebrook: 20 (+5). Epsom: 22 (+5). Hooksett: 81 (+4). Litchfield: 38 (+4). Newport: 21 (+4). Auburn: 26 (+3). Fremont: 27 (+3). Pembroke: 21 (+3). Allenstown: 24 (+2). Meredith: 36 (+1). Seabrook: 43 (+1). Raymond: 31 (+0). Atkinson: 25 (-2). Belmont: 26 (-2). Laconia: 37 (-3). Dover: 46 (-4). Milford: 34 (-5). Salem: 119 (-6). Durham: 59 (-9).  
  • Cumulative Cases
    • There are 77 communities that have had 50 or more cases.
    • Five communities — Deerfield, Greenland, Jeffrey, Moultonborough, and Nottingham — have now had more than 50 cumulative cases.
    • Derry has now passed 700 total cases. Bedford passed 600. Concord has more than 500. Merrimack just passed 400. Exeter, Keene, Laconia Plaistow, and Seabrook now have more than 150. Auburn, Pembroke, and Tilton now have more than 100.
    • 64 communities have seen an increase from Wednesday by more than 5 people; 28 increased by double digits, and 18 communities added more than 20 to their cumulative totals.
    • Manchester, Nashua, Derry, Salem, Bedford, and Concord have had more than 500 cases.
    • Some of the communities with 50 or more total cases, and significant changes in cumulative cases since Wednesday are: Manchester: 3776 (+253). Nashua: 1993 (+127). Derry: 727 (+61). Bedford: 651 (+55). Hudson: 461 (+46). Merrimack: 404 (+46). Concord: 523 (+43). Londonderry: 454 (+43). Keene: 186 (+41). Salem: 698 (+40). Hampton: 258 (+40). Pelham: 261 (+32). Portsmouth: 351 (+32). Goffstown: 443 (+29). Windham: 270 (+28). Rochester: 339 (+26). Hooksett: 288 (+24). Exeter: 168 (+21). Plaistow: 155 (+19). Hampstead: 134 (+16). Litchfield: 127 (+15). Seabrook: 153 (+15). Tilton: 106 (+15). Somersworth: 117 (+14). Conway: 79 (+13). Dover: 378 (+13). Moultonborough: 62 (+13). Allenstown: 82 (+12). Henniker: 73 (+12). Hollis: 75 (+12). Raymond: 167 (+12). Durham: 392 (+11). Stewartstown: 81 (+11). Amherst: 96 (+10). Chester: 73 (+10). Epsom: 63 (+10). Laconia: 157 (+10). Wolfeboro: 63 (+10). Atkinson: 97 (+9). Bow: 91 (+9). Franklin: 124 (+9). Kingston: 66 (+9). New Boston: 69 (+9). Newmarket: 77 (+9). Pembroke: 107 (+9). Deerfield: 50 (+8). Greenland: 50 (+8). Newton: 64 (+8). Auburn: 105 (+7). Barrington: 95 (+7). Colebrook: 68 (+7). Meredith: 80 (+7). Newport: 70 (+7). Weare: 118 (+7). Belmont: 82 (+6). Hopkinton: 59 (+6). Jaffrey: 55 (+6). Milford: 229 (+6). New Ipswich: 69 (+6). North Hampton: 65 (+6). Sandown: 112 (+6). Fremont: 75 (+5). Nottingham: 51 (+5). Rye: 58 (+5).  

• • • • • • DIAGNOSTIC TESTS IN NH • • • • • •

  • New positive cases by my math (Total of today’s cases minus previous total): 478
  • New positive cases per DHHS: 491
    • 258 PCR tests
    • 233 Antigen tests
  • Children under 18 in new cases: 62
  • Total positive cases in NH: 20,480
  • Percentage of today’s tests that are positive per DHHS: 5.2%
  • Total PCR test results reported today (Positive results plus negative results): 2,818
  • The daily average of diagnostic (PCR) tests reported from 7 days ago to today: 1,821
  • New negative results reported today: 2,340
  • Total negative cases in NH: 398,496

• • • • • • ROCKINGHAM COUNTY • • • • • • 

  • Total cases in Rockingham County: 4,918
  • New cases in Rockingham County: 142
  • Rockingham County: New cases per 100K residents: 45.8
  • Rockingham County 1-week average per 100K residents: 38.5
  • Rockingham County Positivity Rate: 5.5%
  • Percent of all cases from Rockingham County: 24.0%
  • Percent of all cases from either Hillsborough County or Rockingham County: 68%

• • • • • • ACTIVE CASES • • • • • •

  • Active cases in NH: 4,955
  • Active cases in Rockingham County: 1,076
  • Percent of NH’s active cases that are in Rockingham County: 21.7%

• • • • • • OTHER TEST RESULTS • • • • • • 

  • New antibody tests: 16
  • Total antibody tests (No break downs of positive vs. negative): 33,152
  • The daily average of antibody tests reported from 7 days ago to today: 41

• • • • • • CHANGES BY AGES • • • • • •  
(Total infections, percentage of all infections, and increase over the last week.)

  • 0-9: 761 = 4% (+115).
  • 10-19: 2038 = 10% (+230).
  • 20-29: 4005 = 20% (+510).
  • 30-39: 2926 = 14% (+372).
  • 40-49: 2645 = 13% (+326).
  • 50-59: 3163 = 15% (+408).
  • 60-69: 2251 = 11% (+262).
  • 70-79: 1226 = 6% (+123).
  • 80+: 1454 = 7% (+94).
  • Unknown: 11 = 0% (+-2).

• • • • • • RECOVERED IN NH • • • • • • 

  • Announced today: 357
  • Total Recovered: 14,999
  • Percentage of diagnosed cases that have recovered: 73.2%

• • • • • • HOSPITALIZATIONS IN NH • • • • • • 

  • New people hospitalized from NH: 2
  • Currently hospitalized: 146
  • Total hospitalized patients: 839
  • Percentage of those who have been infected that have been hospitalized: 4.10%
  • Total admitted to ICU: 279
  • New hospitalized patients from Rockingham County: 2
  • Total hospitalized patients from Rockingham County: 202

• • • • • • DEATHS IN NH • • • • • • 

  • Lives lost today: 3
  • Persons over 60 years of age who died today: 3
  • Persons under 60 years of age who died today: 0
  • Total fatalities in NH associated with COVID-19: 526
  • NH Residents diagnosed with COVID-19 that died: 2.57%
  • Lives lost in Rockingham County today: 1
  • Total lives lost in Rockingham County: 110

These are not simply numbers. We must not forget that these are all someone’s husband or wife, mother or father, sister or brother, son or daughter, friend or neighbor.

 “Always plan ahead. It wasn’t raining when Noah built the ark.” 

– Richard Cushing

Hello, Salem!

Tomorrow we start a new week. A new beginning! Use it wisely. Stay smart, stay safe, and always, be kind.

~Bonnie

This video was posted almost two months ago. Things have changed in that time. On October 2, US deaths were 1,035,451, according to the video. (My records say 1,033,174 per WorldOmeter.) WorldOMeter now says the global death rate is 1,446,889, an increase of 413,715 in less than two months. Just please remember that there is a lot more between COVID->Death vs. COVID->Recovery. More and more, long-haulers are making the news, as are other consequences of COVID-19.

From the beginning of the pandemic, it took 43 days before NH reached it’s first 1,000 confirmed diagnoses. It took 31 days to go from 10,000 to 18,000. In another 5 days, we added another 2,000.

This screenshot comes from https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6942e2.htm?s_cid=mm6942e2_w

This report is explained here:
https://www.clickondetroit.com/health/2020/10/20/cdc-from-january-to-october-us-had-299k-more-deaths-than-in-previous-years/

Useful links

Sources used to create these reports:

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *