Posted on by Bonnie

COVID-19 Update November 30

COVID-19 Update November 30

  • Total: 721 confirmed cases in Salem
  • 1 out of 41 Salem residents have been infected 
  • Salem as of today: 23 new cases since yesterday; 130 active cases

I can’t figure out what is going on with NH DHHS. They continue to have the same basic message that they’ve had since Friday. It would make me more comfortable in trusting all of their numbers if they would stop dividing test results from one day into two. Maybe tomorrow they will catch up?

From today’s Press Release: “On Monday, November 30, 2020, DHHS announced 514 new positive test results for COVID-19, for a daily PCR test positivity rate of 5.5%. Today’s results include 287 people who tested positive by PCR test and 227 who tested positive by antigen test. There are now 5,145 current COVID-19 cases diagnosed in New Hampshire. Of the results reported today, 265 new positive test results are from Saturday, 11/27 and 249 new positive test results are from Sunday, 11/28. Test results received Sunday are still being processed and the total number of new positives for that day is not yet complete. Updated case counts for prior days will be reflected on the COVID-19 interactive dashboard.”

• • • • • • Community Transmission • • • • • •

Community Transmission (per NH Department of Health and Human Services): The overall level of community transmission is defined using three metrics.  A community is then assigned an overall level based on the highest-level determination for any specific metric. The metric which is changing the most right now is the number of new cases.

  • NH Community Transmission Metrics:
    • New Cases per 100k over 14 days: 
      • Scale: Minimal: <50; Moderate: 50 – 100; Substantial: >100. 
      • Daily average: 444.7  Substantial
    • New hospitalizations per 100k over 14 days:
      • Scale: Minimal: <10; Moderate: 10 – 20; Substantial: >20, 
      • Daily average: 1.0
    • Average PCR Test Positivity Rate over 7 days:
      • Scale: Minimal: <5%; Moderate: 5% – 10%; Substantial: >10%
      • Daily average: 4.8%
    • New Hampshire’s Level of Transmission: Substantial
  • Rockingham County Transmission:
    • New Cases per 100k over 14 days: 469
    • New hospitalizations per 100k over 14 days: 1.3
    • Average PCR Test Positivity Rate over 7 days: 5.5
    • Rockingham County’s Level of Transmission: Substantial
  • Other NH Locations
    • Manchester’s new cases per 100K for the past two weeks has skyrocketed to 906.1. 
    • The level of transmission is moderate for the 7-day PCR positivity rate for Manchester, Nashua and Rockingham County.
    • The highest level of the three metrics determines the level of community transmission. All 10 Counties, and our two major cities remain at a Substantial level of transmission, as all have new cases per 100K over 2 weeks.

• • • • • • TODAY’S SPOTLIGHT • • • • • •

  • Since yesterdays report, Salem has added 23 more confirmed cases. The only day with more was yesterday’s report, with 40 new cases — but those 40 were for 4 days. Today is the most new cases in Salem for one single day.
  • Today Salem’s active cases count increased by 11 more people. Our total today is 130. The record was a week ago, at 138 people.
  • 514 people were reported today as new cases. NH has only had four days with more new diagnoses. All have been within the last 11 days.
  • The total number of people in NH who have been confirmed to have COVID-19 is almost 21,000. A month ago, it was 10,112.
  • The total number of people in Rockingham County diagnosed with COVID-19 has passed 5,000. Hillsborough County has passed 9300. The county with the third highest number of people infected is Merrimack County, with just over 1,600.
  • In NH, 1 out of every 65 people have been infected. In Rockingham County, it’s 1:61. Nashua is 1:44. Salem is 1:41, which is actually worse than Nashua. Manchester is 1:29.
  • Today, 50 kids under 18 were diagnosed with COVID-19. 307 children were diagnosed in the past week. 
  • To date, 774 kids aged up to 9 years old have been diagnosed. 2,091 kids aged 10-19 have been diagnosed. The age with the most diagnoses is aged 20-29, with 4,106. (20% of all cases).
  • In NH, over 400,000 negative tests have now been reported.
  • Over 15,000 people have been identified as “recovered” (no longer considered to be infectious). Nearly 2,100 of them have been identified as “recovered” in the past week
  • 73.0% of all confirmed cases in NH have “recovered.” We were at 87.2% on October 21. 
  • There are 5,145 active cases in NH today. This count has gone up every day except one since October 28.  In 9 days, it has increased by 25%. Today, NH passed 5,000 active cases for the first time. 
  • 7,700 people are being monitored in NH. This number has increased almost every day since October 30, when it was 4,375. September it was 2,750. August 30 it was 1,800.
  • Today’s positivity rate is 5.5% per NH DHHS’s press release, but it is 4.8% on the dashboard. Which is correct???
  • Why did the State stop reporting the number of new patients who have been hospitalized? When the number of patients started growing, the State stopped reporting the number of new hospitalized patients. They are now only reporting the total number of patients who have been hospitalized. The new hospitalizations can only be found by comparing yesterday’s total to today’s total. This number stopped when the website crashed. At first, it looked like it was tied to that crash, but now it appears to be an obvious omission. Why?
  • The total number of people who have been hospitalized in NH with COVID-19 is the same as that on yesterday’s report: 839. However, the number of current hospitalized patients is a new high of 160, 13 more than was reported by NH DHHS yesterday (and yesterday was 13 more than the previous day). 26 people hospitalized in two days. Until this week, the previous high was 126 on May 13. 
  • There is no change today to the number of people who have been admitted to an ICU. The state does not report the number of people who are currently in the ICU, only the cumulative total, which is 279. We do not know the ages of those patients.
  • No one died from COVID-19 in the period covered by this report. NH has lost an average of 2.33 people per day for the past week.
  • The total number of people in Rockingham County diagnosed with COVID-19 has passed 5,000. Hillsborough County has passed 9300. The county with the third highest number of people infected is Merrimack County, with just over 1,600.
  • In NH, 1 out of every 65 people have been infected. In Rockingham County, it’s 1:61. Nashua is 1:44. Salem is 1:41, which is actually worse than Nashua. Manchester is 1:29.

• • • • • • Communities • • • • • •

  • NH DHHS says that the new cases reside in Rockingham (119), Hillsborough County other than Manchester and Nashua (81), Merrimack (52), Strafford (26), Cheshire (20), Belknap (19), Coos (11), Carroll (10), Grafton (9), and Sullivan (2) counties, and in the cities of Manchester (108) and Nashua (43). The county of residence is being determined for fourteen new cases. 
  • Active cases:
    • 324 people were reported as “recovered” today; these are reflected in today’s changes. 
    • One community — Colebrook— now has less than 20 active cases, and has been removed from the list.
    • Two communities — Chester and Franklin — now have more than 20 active cases
    • After these adjustments, there are now 46 NH communities with more than 20 active cases. Between them, these communities have 3,993 active case, accounting for 78% of all active cases.
    • Manchester now has more than 1,000 active cases. Nashua has more than 400 active cases. Derry, Salem, Concord, Londonderry, Bedford, Hudson and Merrimack all have more than 100 cases. Stewartstown now has more than 50 active cases.
    • Five communities — Manchester, Nashua, Salem, Concord, and Derry — have more than 100 active cases.
    • Manchester, Nashua and Derry are the only communities with more active cases than Salem.
    • Notable net changes in active cases since yesterday: Manchester: 1070 (+97). Nashua: 465 (+20). Salem: 130 (+11). Derry: 141 (+10). Goffstown: 74 (+8). Windham: 65 (+8). Bedford: 115 (+7). Bow: 32 (+7). Hampton: 99 (+7). Londonderry: 116 (+7). Keene: 93 (+6). Stewartstown: 54 (+6). Epsom: 26 (+4). Franklin: 23 (+4). Hudson: 111 (+4). Pembroke: 25 (+4). Litchfield: 41 (+3). Moultonborough: 32 (+3). Allenstown: 26 (+2). Hollis: 32 (+2). Tilton: 70 (+2). Auburn: 27 (+1). Belmont: 27 (+1). Chester: 20 (+1). Dover: 47 (+1). Exeter: 40 (+1). Fremont: 28 (+1). Laconia: 38 (+1). Pelham: 71 (+1). Somersworth: 38 (+1). Atkinson: 25 (+0). Concord: 128 (+0). Hooksett: 81 (+0). Milford: 34 (+0). Newport: 21 (+0). Meredith: 35 (-1). Plaistow: 38 (-1). Raymond: 30 (-1). Conway: 26 (-2). Hampstead: 29 (-2). Rochester: 88 (-2). Henniker: 20 (-3). Seabrook: 39 (-4). Portsmouth: 68 (-5). Durham: 53 (-6). Merrimack: 102 (-10).  
  • Cumulative Cases
    • There are now 78 communities that have had 50 or more cases.
    • One more community — Loudon — have now had 50 or more cumulative cases.
    • Salem has now passed 700 total cases. Nashua now has more than 2,000 total cases.
    • Manchester, Nashua, Derry, Salem, Bedford, and Concord have had more than 500 cases.
    • Some of the communities with 50 or more total cases, and significant changes in cumulative cases since yesterday are: Manchester: 3,884 (+108). Nashua: 2,036 (+43). Salem: 721 (+23). Derry: 745 (+18). Londonderry: 469 (+15). Bedford: 664 (+13). Goffstown: 456 (+13). Hudson: 474 (+13). Concord: 535 (+12). Hampton: 269 (+11). Bow: 99 (+8). Windham: 278 (+8). Keene: 193 (+7). Litchfield: 134 (+7). Milford: 236 (+7). Rochester: 346 (+7). Belmont: 88 (+6). Epsom: 69 (+6). Hollis: 81 (+6). Hooksett: 294 (+6). Stewartstown: 87 (+6). Dover: 383 (+5). Merrimack: 409 (+5). Moultonborough: 67 (+5). Exeter: 172 (+4). Franklin: 128 (+4). Pembroke: 111 (+4). Somersworth: 121 (+4). Tilton: 110 (+4).  

• • • • • • DIAGNOSTIC TESTS IN NH • • • • • •

  • New positive cases by my math (Total of today’s cases minus previous total): 514
  • New positive cases per DHHS: 514
    • 287 PCR tests
    • 227 Antigen tests
  • Children under 18 in new cases: 50
  • Total positive cases in NH: 20,994
  • Percentage of today’s tests that are positive per DHHS: 5.5%
  • Total PCR test results reported today (Positive results plus negative results): 2,285
  • The daily average of diagnostic (PCR) tests reported from 7 days ago to today: 1,942
  • New negative results reported today: 1,771
  • Total negative cases in NH: 400,267

• • • • • • ROCKINGHAM COUNTY • • • • • • 

  • Total cases in Rockingham County: 5.038
  • New cases in Rockingham County: 119
  • Rockingham County: New cases per 100K residents: 38.4
  • Rockingham County 1-week average per 100K residents: 39.2
  • Rockingham County Positivity Rate: 5.5%
  • Percent of all cases from Rockingham County: 24.0%
  • Percent of all cases from either Hillsborough County or Rockingham County: 68%

• • • • • • ACTIVE CASES • • • • • •

  • Active cases in NH: 5,145
  • Active cases in Rockingham County: 1,118
  • Percent of NH’s active cases that are in Rockingham County: 21.7%

• • • • • • OTHER TEST RESULTS • • • • • • 

  • New antibody tests: 9
  • Total antibody tests (No break downs of positive vs. negative): 33,161
  • The daily average of antibody tests reported from 7 days ago to today: 37

• • • • • • CHANGES BY AGES • • • • • •  
(Shown: Total infections, percentage of all infections, and increase since yesterday.)

  • 0-9: 774 = 4% (+13).
  • 10-19: 2091 = 10% (+53).
  • 20-29: 4106 = 20% (+101). (In the last few days, this moved up from 19%)
  • 30-39: 3016 = 14% (+90).
  • 40-49: 2717 = 13% (+72).
  • 50-59: 3250 = 15% (+87).
  • 60-69: 2299 = 11% (+48).
  • 70-79: 1248 = 6% (+22).
  • 80+: 1482 = 7% (+28).
  • Unknown: 11 = 0% (+0).

• • • • • • RECOVERED IN NH • • • • • • 

  • Announced today: 324
  • Total Recovered: 15,323
  • Percentage of diagnosed cases that have recovered: 73.0% 

• • • • • • HOSPITALIZATIONS IN NH • • • • • • 

  • New people hospitalized from NH: 0
  • Currently hospitalized: 160
  • Total hospitalized patients: 839
  • Percentage of those who have been infected that have been hospitalized: 4.00%
  • Total admitted to ICU: 279
  • New hospitalized patients from Rockingham County: 1
  • Total hospitalized patients from Rockingham County: 203

• • • • • • DEATHS IN NH • • • • • • 

  • Lives lost today: 0
  • Persons over 60 years of age who died today: 0
  • Persons under 60 years of age who died today: 0
  • Total fatalities in NH associated with COVID-19: 526
  • NH Residents diagnosed with COVID-19 that died: 2.51%
  • Lives lost in Rockingham County today: 0
  • Total lives lost in Rockingham County: 110

These are not simply numbers. We must not forget that these are all someone’s husband or wife, mother or father, sister or brother, son or daughter, friend or neighbor.

Medical science has proven time and again that when the resources are provided, great progress in the treatment, cure, and prevention of disease can occur.  

~Michael J. Fox


Hello, Salem!

One of the things that people message me about fairly often is how to get tested for COVID-19. I hope you don’t need this info, but here it is:

In Salem, you can get tested at three locations. PCR tests are more reliable than Antigen tests, but results take longer. Some reports are that PCR test results could take as long as 8 days to get results. PCR testing can be done at:

Antigen test results are almost immediate, as little as 15 minutes. However, they are more likely to produce false negatives or false positives. Antigen tests are available at Convenient MD, Windham/Salem (833-263-0131, and ExpressMED/BOAC, Salem (603-898-0961). 

There are other options as well:

From the State: https://business.nh.gov/DOS_COVID19Testing/

And my own report:

COVID-19 Testing

Stay smart, stay safe, and always, be kind.

~Bonnie

This video was posted almost two months ago. Things have changed in that time. On October 2, US deaths were 1,035,451, according to the video. (My records say 1,033,174 per WorldOmeter.) WorldOMeter now says the global death rate is 1,446,889, an increase of 413,715 in less than two months. Just please remember that there is a lot more between COVID->Death vs. COVID->Recovery. More and more, long-haulers are making the news, as are other consequences of COVID-19.

From the beginning of the pandemic, it took 43 days before NH reached it’s first 1,000 confirmed diagnoses. It took 31 days to go from 10,000 to 18,000. In another 5 days, we added another 2,000.

This screenshot comes from https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6942e2.htm?s_cid=mm6942e2_w

This report is explained here:
https://www.clickondetroit.com/health/2020/10/20/cdc-from-january-to-october-us-had-299k-more-deaths-than-in-previous-years/

Useful links

Sources used to create these reports:

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