COVID-19 Update October 16

COVID-19 Update October 16

  • Total: 361 confirmed cases in Salem
  • 1 out of every 82 Salem residents have been infected
  • Salem Today: 2 new cases, 24 active cases 

Community Transmission (per NH Department of Health and Human Services)

The overall level of community transmission is defined using three metrics.  A community is then assigned an overall level based on the highest-level determination for any specific metric.  

  • NH Community Transmission Metrics:
    • New Cases per 100k over 14 days
      • Scale: Minimal: <50; Moderate: 50 – 100; Substantial: >100. 
      • Today: 994 cases; Daily average: 73.3 (Moderate)
    • New hospitalizations per 100k over 14 days:
      • Scale: Minimal: <10; Moderate: 10 – 20; Substantial: >20, 
      • Today: Total hospitalizations: 18 total; Daily average: 1.3
    • Average PCR Test Positivity Rate over 7 days:
      • Scale: Minimal: <5%; Moderate: 5% – 10%; Substantial: >10%
      • Today: Tests over last 7 days: 428 Total. PCR Tests over last 7 days: 34,822 Daily average: 1.2%
  • Today’s Level of Transmission: Moderate
  • Rockingham County Transmission:
    • New Cases per 100k over 14 days: 72.8
    • New hospitalizations per 100k over 14 days: 1.3
    • Average PCR Test Positivity Rate over 7 days: 1.6
    • Rockingham’s Level of Transmission: Moderate

• • • • • • TODAY’S SPOTLIGHT • • • • • •

  • Another two Salem resident have been diagnosed with COVID-19. 
  • Salem has 24 people with active infections. We have not had this many active cases since July 18. We had less than 5 on several dates, as recently as September 30.
  • 4,050 people in NH are “being monitored.” The last time we have had this many on the monitoring list was June 3.
  • Communities:
    • One person out of every 82 people have been infected in Salem. Although Nashua has roughly three times as many people as Salem, they have the same ratio.
      • Manchester: 1 out of 50. Bedford: 1 out of 52. Goffstown: 1 out of 66. Derry: 1 out of 79. Nashua and Salem: 1 out of 82. All of the other communities that have had more than 50 total cases have more desirable ratios.
    • Notable changes in active cases from yesterday to today:
      • There is a total of three more communities with 5 or more active cases. Those 43 communities make up 747 of the 894 active cases.
      • Concord (+9). Keene and Weare (+7). Manchester, Pelham and Nashua (+5). Hudson and Bedford (+4).
    • Notable changes in active cases from last Saturday to today:
      • In one week, NH went from 29 communities with 5 or more active cases to 43 communities. Active cases in those communities went from 539 to 747. All active cases in NH went from 692 to 894.
      • Londonderry (+16). Concord (+15). Portsmouth (+14). Salem (+11). Hollis and Belmonth (+9). Hudson (+8). Bow, Greenland, Keene and Rye (+7). Bedford, Brentwood, Epping, Laconia, Merrimack and Nashua (+6). Allenstown, Dover, Franklin, Hampstead, Hanover, Lee, and Plaistow (+5). Hampton, Milford and Warner (+4). 
      • Gilmanton and Manchester (-5).
    • Notable changes in active cases over the last two weeks:
      • In two weeks, NH went from 23 communities with 5 or more active cases to 43 communities. Active cases in those communities went from 365 to 747. All active cases in NH went from 500 to 894.
    • Some of the communities with significant changes in cumulative cases: Manchester (+10). Concord (+9). Nashua and Bedford (+6). Hudson (+5)
    • Cumulative Case Totals: 
      • Manchester: 2,250. Nashua: 1092. Bedford: 434. Derry: 424. Salem: 361. Goffstown: 274. Londonderry: 226. All other NH communities have had less than 200, although Concord is likely to hit that limit very soon, probably tomorrow, certainly later this week.
  • We lost another two more NH residents to COVID-19. That’s 9 people in the last three days.
  • Globally, there were 413,387 new cases in the past 24 hours. The 2-week average is 340,041.
  • Globally, there were 6,182 more deaths than 24 hours ago.
  • US has over 8 million cases. News reports say we reached that today. Worldometer reported that level five days ago.
  • US added 71,763 new cases today. The 2-week daily average is 52,689.
  • US had 915 more deaths today. The two-week daily average is 719.

• • • • • • DIAGNOSTIC TESTS IN NH • • • • • • 

  • New positive cases by my math (Total of today’s cases minus yesterday’s total): 88
  • New positive cases per DHHS: 90
    • 64 PCR tests
    • 26 Antigen tests
  • Children under 18 in new cases: 16
  • Total positive cases in NH: 9,514
  • Percentage of today’s tests that are positive per DHHS: 1.1%
  • Total PCR tests results reported today (Positive results plus negative results: 2,239
  • The daily average of diagnostic (PCR) tests reported from 7 days ago to today: 1,909
  • New negative results reported today: 2,151
  • Total negative cases in NH: 296,301

• • • • • • ROCKINGHAM COUNTY • • • • • •

  • Total cases in Rockingham County: 2,332
  • New cases in Rockingham County: 19
  • Rockingham County: New cases per 100K residents: 6.1
  • Rockingham County 1-week average per 100K residents: 6.8
  • Rockingham County Positivity Rate: 1.6%
  • Percent of all cases from Rockingham County: 24.5%
  • Percent of all cases from either Hillsborough County or Rockingham County: 77%

• • • • • • ACTIVE CASES • • • • • •

  • Active cases in NH: 894
  • Active cases in Rockingham County: 210
  • Percent of NH’s active cases that are in Rockingham County: 23.5%

• • • • • • OTHER TEST RESULTS • • • • • • 

  • New antibody tests: 21
  • Total antibody tests (No break downs of positive vs. negative): 31,675
  • The daily average of antibody tests reported from 7 days ago to today: 33

• • • • • • CHANGES BY AGES • • • • • • 

  • 0-9: +6 (3% of all cases. 6% of new cases
  • 10-19: +14 (8% of all; 13% today) 
  • 20-29: +27 (17% of all; 25% today) 
  • 30-39: +9 (14% of all; +8% today)
  • 40-49: 29 (13% of all; 27% today)
  • 50-59: +10 (15% of all; 9% today)
  • 60-69: +8 (12% of all; 7% today)
  • 70-79: +2 (7% of all; 2% today) 
  • 80+: +3 (11% of all; 3% today)
  • Note that the total of all changes is 108, but NH DHHS reports 90 new cases. I observe that there was a negative total yesterday for the 40- to 49-year-olds, and today this group accounted for about 1/3 of all new cases. Another mystery that I can’t explain.

• • • • • • CHANGES IN SCHOOLS  • • • • • • 

  • The school dashboard now shows that a student at North Salem Elementary School was infected as of Wednesday. (See screenshot below the calendar.) I don’t see it on social media, so I’m wondering if this is like the recent case at Salem High School, and the earlier case at Woodbury. If the school department is not acknowledging this one, I want to know what is going on, and where the misinformation lies. 
  • Granite State Arts Academy, a public chartered high school in Salem, still has one student listed as having an active infection.

• • • • • • RECOVERED IN NH • • • • • • 

  • Announced today: 21
  • Total Recovered: 8,155
  • Percentage of diagnosed cases that have recovered: 85.7%

• • • • • • HOSPITALIZATIONS IN NH • • • • • • 

  • New: 0
  • Current: 16
  • Total Hospitalized: 761
  • Percentage of those who have been infected that have been hospitalized: 8.00%

• • • • • • DEATHS IN NH • • • • • • 

  • Lives lost today: 1
  • Persons over 60 years of age who died today: 1
  • Persons under 60 years of age who died today: 0
  • Total fatalities in NH associated with COVID-19: 465
  • NH Residents diagnosed with COVID-19 that died: 4.89%
  • Lives lost in Rockingham today: 0

These are not simply numbers. We must not forget that these are all someone’s husband or wife, mother or father, sister or brother, son or daughter, friend or neighbor.

“Nothing in life is to be feared; it is only to be understood. Now is the time to understand more, so that we may fear less.”

Marie Curie

Nothing makes me more aware of how fast time is flying as when I realize another weekend is upon us. Enjoy it, but be vigilant. Don’t become a statistic! Please stay safe, and always, be kind.

~Bonnie





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