COVID-19 Update October 17

COVID-19 Update October 17

  • Total: 362 confirmed cases in Salem
  • 1 out of every 82 Salem residents have been infected
  • Salem Today: 1 new case, 23 active cases 

Community Transmission (per NH Department of Health and Human Services)

The overall level of community transmission is defined using three metrics.  A community is then assigned an overall level based on the highest-level determination for any specific metric.  

  • NH Community Transmission Metrics:
    • New Cases per 100k over 14 days
      • Scale: Minimal: <50; Moderate: 50 – 100; Substantial: >100. 
      • Today: 994 cases; Daily average: 76.4 (Moderate)
    • New hospitalizations per 100k over 14 days:
      • Scale: Minimal: <10; Moderate: 10 – 20; Substantial: >20, 
      • Today: Total hospitalizations: 16 total; Daily average: 1.2
    • Average PCR Test Positivity Rate over 7 days:
      • Scale: Minimal: <5%; Moderate: 5% – 10%; Substantial: >10%
      • Today: Tests over last 7 days: 426 Total. PCR Tests over last 7 days: 38,858 Daily average: 1.1%
  • Today’s Level of Transmission: Moderate
  • Rockingham County Transmission:
    • New Cases per 100k over 14 days: 77.9
    • New hospitalizations per 100k over 14 days: 1.3
    • Average PCR Test Positivity Rate over 7 days: 1.5
    • Rockingham County Transmission: Moderate

• • • • • • TODAY’S SPOTLIGHT • • • • • •

  • Another two Salem resident have been diagnosed with COVID-19. 
  • Salem has 23 people with active infections, one less than yesterday.
  • I have updated the graph showing Salem’s current and cumulative cases, which can be found below.
  • 5,800 tests were done today.
  • NH has now had over 300,000 negative test results.
  • 67 people were marked as “recovered” today, but NH’s active cases is still 937, the most since July 2.
  • Communities:
    • Notable changes in active cases from yesterday to today:
      • There is the same number of communities with 5 or more active cases than yesterday, although the actual communities have changed. Those 42 communities make up 784 of the 937 active cases.
      • Lee dropped from five active cases to less than five. Hanover had less than five, but now has seven.
      • Manchester (+12). Hampton (+11). Warner (+7). Concord (+5).
      • Nashua (-5). Merrimack (-3).
    • Some of the communities with significant changes in cumulative cases: Manchester (+21). Nashua (+12). Concord (+5). Derry (+4)
    • Yesterday I predicted that Concord would hit 200 cases “probably tomorrow.”  Today they have 204 total cases.
  • We lost another NH resident to COVID-19 today. That’s 1.6 people per day for the last two weeks.
  • As of Thursday, there were four long-term facilities with a COVID-19 outbreak:
    • Bedford Hills Center: 58 resident cases, 21 staff cases and 13 deaths.
    • Pine Rock Manor (Warner): 35 resident cases, 8 staff cases and no deaths
    • St. Teresa Rehab and Nursing Center (Manchester): 7 resident cases, 2 staff cases and no deaths.
    • Warde Health Center (Windham): 3 resident cases, 2 staff cases and no deaths

• • • • • • DIAGNOSTIC TESTS IN NH • • • • • • 

  • New positive cases by my math (Total of today’s cases minus yesterday’s total): 88
  • New positive cases per DHHS: 90
    • 64 PCR tests
    • 26 Antigen tests
  • Children under 18 in new cases: 16
  • Total positive cases in NH: 9,514
  • Percentage of today’s tests that are positive per DHHS: 1.1%
  • Total PCR tests results reported today (Positive results plus negative results: 2,239
  • The daily average of diagnostic (PCR) tests reported from 7 days ago to today: 1,909
  • New negative results reported today: 2,151
  • Total negative cases in NH: 296,301

• • • • • • ROCKINGHAM COUNTY • • • • • •

  • Total cases in Rockingham County: 2,332
  • New cases in Rockingham County: 19
  • Rockingham County: New cases per 100K residents: 6.1
  • Rockingham County 1-week average per 100K residents: 6.8
  • Rockingham County Positivity Rate: 1.6%
  • Percent of all cases from Rockingham County: 24.5%
  • Percent of all cases from either Hillsborough County or Rockingham County: 77%

• • • • • • ACTIVE CASES • • • • • •

  • Active cases in NH: 894
  • Active cases in Rockingham County: 210
  • Percent of NH’s active cases that are in Rockingham County: 23.5%

• • • • • • OTHER TEST RESULTS • • • • • • 

  • New antibody tests: 21
  • Total antibody tests (No break downs of positive vs. negative): 31,675
  • The daily average of antibody tests reported from 7 days ago to today: 33

• • • • • • CHANGES BY AGES • • • • • • 

  • 0-9: +7 (3% of all cases. 6% of new cases
  • 10-19: +17 (8% of all; 15% today) 
  • 20-29: +21 (17% of all; 19% today) 
  • 30-39: +10 (14% of all; +9% today)
  • 40-49: +19 (13% of all; 17% today)
  • 50-59: +8 (15% of all; 7% today)
  • 60-69: +5 (12% of all; 5% today)
  • 70-79: +4 (7% of all; 4% today) 
  • 80+: +15 (11% of all; 14% today)
  • Unknown: +5 (0% of all; 5% today)

• • • • • • CHANGES IN SCHOOLS  • • • • • • 

  • The school dashboard shows no change for Salem. 
  • The dashboard still shows that a student at North Salem Elementary School was infected as of Wednesday. (See screenshot below the calendar.) I am questioning the accuracy of this.
  • Granite State Arts Academy, a public chartered high school in Salem, still has one student listed as having an active infection.

• • • • • • RECOVERED IN NH • • • • • • 

  • Announced today: 21
  • Total Recovered: 8,155
  • Percentage of diagnosed cases that have recovered: 85.7%

• • • • • • HOSPITALIZATIONS IN NH • • • • • • 

  • New: 0
  • Current: 16
  • Total Hospitalized: 761
  • Percentage of those who have been infected that have been hospitalized: 8.00%

• • • • • • DEATHS IN NH • • • • • • 

  • Lives lost today: 1
  • Persons over 60 years of age who died today: 1
  • Persons under 60 years of age who died today: 0
  • Total fatalities in NH associated with COVID-19: 465
  • NH Residents diagnosed with COVID-19 that died: 4.89%
  • Lives lost in Rockingham today: 0

These are not simply numbers. We must not forget that these are all someone’s husband or wife, mother or father, sister or brother, son or daughter, friend or neighbor.

“Knowledge is power.
Information is liberating.”

~Kofi Annan, recipient of the 2001 Nobel Peace Prize

“Knowledge is power.” Thanks to those who share with me that they understand this. We all – and I include myself – need to know what we are up against to be comfortable with it. We need reminders that, while this slowed down for a while, it never went away. We need reminders to stay safe, and always, be kind.

~Bonnie






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